Меню
Лобби
Депозит
Игры
Профиль
KROL
Зарегистрироваться
Войти
Регистрация
Войти
Маркеты
Top
Политика
Геополитика
Технологии
Финансы
Спорт
Крипто
Культура
Экономика
World Cup Winner
USA
Да
x40.43
Нет
—
Ivory Coast
Да
x100
Нет
—
Mexico
Да
x82.61
Нет
—
ещё 28 вопросов
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Oprah Winfrey
Да
x100
Нет
—
Bernie Sanders
Да
x100
Нет
—
Chelsea Clinton
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 42 вопросов
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Byron Donalds
Да
x100
Нет
—
Mike Pence
Да
x100
Нет
—
John Thune
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 32 вопросов
Presidential Election Winner 2028
LeBron James
Да
x100
Нет
—
Tim Walz
Да
x100
Нет
—
Kim Kardashian
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 34 вопросов
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Brazil Presidential Election
Tarcisio de Freitas
Да
x100
Нет
—
Ratinho Júnior
Да
x100
Нет
—
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 14 вопросов
California Governor Election Winner
Tom Steyer
Да
x100
Нет
—
Steve Hilton
Да
x12.03
Нет
x1.03
Alex Padilla
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 20 вопросов
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
Да
x1.22
Нет
x4.27
11 (275 bps)
Да
x100
Нет
—
10 (250 bps)
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 10 вопросов
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Да
x16.81
Нет
—
2026 NBA Champion
New York Knicks
Да
—
Нет
x100
San Antonio Spurs
Да
x100
Нет
—
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
by December 31, 2026
Да
x22.09
Нет
—
Largest Company end of June?
Microsoft
Да
x100
Нет
—
Tesla
Да
x100
Нет
—
NVIDIA
Да
—
Нет
x47.5
ещё 4 вопроса
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Z.ai
Да
x100
Нет
—
Anthropic
Да
—
Нет
x100
xAI
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 12 вопросов
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Donald Trump
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
UNRWA
Да
x8.56
Нет
x1.07
Greta Thunberg
Да
x61.29
Нет
—
ещё 17 вопросов
What will happen before GTA VI?
Jesus Christ returns
Да
x1.92
Нет
x1.88
Bitcoin hits $1m
Да
x1.92
Нет
x1.88
China invades Taiwan
Да
x1.88
Нет
x1.92
ещё 5 вопросов
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Да
x3.73
Нет
x1.28
Starmer out by...?
June 30
Да
x1.08
Нет
x7.92
December 31
Да
—
Нет
x70.37
July 31
Да
—
Нет
x23.75
ещё 2 вопроса
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Да
x15.2
Нет
x1.01
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Australia
Да
x100
Нет
—
Other EU country
Да
x100
Нет
—
No meeting by June 30
Да
—
Нет
x100
ещё 12 вопросов
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump out as President before 2027?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Netanyahu out by...?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x2
Нет
x1.81
July 31
Да
x42.22
Нет
—
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
Да
x2.18
Нет
x1.68
Republicans Sweep
Да
x5.43
Нет
x1.15
Other
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 2 вопроса
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
Да
x1.15
Нет
x5.43
Republican Party
Да
x5.43
Нет
x1.15
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
Да
x2.65
Нет
x1.48
$1B
Да
x5.14
Нет
x1.17
$3B
Да
x14.84
Нет
x1.01
ещё 5 вопросов
IPOs before 2027?
SpaceX
Да
—
Нет
x100
Ledger
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
Databricks
Да
x4.75
Нет
x1.19
ещё 26 вопросов
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Vegas Golden Knights
Да
x100
Нет
—
Carolina Hurricanes
Да
—
Нет
x100
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
Да
x3.88
Нет
x1.26
Ousmane Dembélé
Да
x5.57
Нет
x1.15
Vinícius Júnior
Да
x59.38
Нет
—
ещё 22 вопросов
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen
Да
—
Нет
x100
Henry Cavill
Да
x100
Нет
—
Jacob Elordi
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 12 вопросов
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Да
x2.75
Нет
x1.45
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
Да
x1.42
Нет
x2.88
Saudi Aramco
Да
x59.38
Нет
—
Microsoft
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$700M
Да
x2.92
Нет
x1.41
$1B
Да
x5.94
Нет
x1.13
$2B
Да
x9.5
Нет
x1.06
ещё 5 вопросов
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
Да
x2.35
Нет
x1.6
Republican Party
Да
x1.64
Нет
x2.26
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
US
Да
x100
Нет
—
Qatar / UAE
Да
x100
Нет
—
Belarus
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 11 вопросов
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
September 30
Да
x21.84
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x4.52
Нет
x1.2
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Да
x3.65
Нет
x1.28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Да
x1.14
Нет
x5.59
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
Да
x6.79
Нет
x1.1
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Z.ai
Да
x100
Нет
—
Meituan
Да
x100
Нет
—
Moonshot
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 12 вопросов
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x4.04
Нет
x1.24
July 31, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 2 вопроса
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
Да
x18.45
Нет
—
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.25T–1.5T
Да
x23.46
Нет
—
No IPO by December 31, 2026
Да
x1.26
Нет
x3.88
<500B
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 4 вопроса
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Republican
Да
x2.35
Нет
x1.6
Democratic
Да
x1.62
Нет
x2.29
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
600B+
Да
x100
Нет
—
<100B
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 4 вопроса
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
September 30, 2026
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
December 31, 2027
Да
x1.24
Нет
x4.04
ещё 1 вопрос
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Bernard Arnault
Да
x100
Нет
—
Jeff Bezos
Да
x100
Нет
—
Steve Ballmer
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 7 вопросов
US recession by end of 2026?
US recession by end of 2026?
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x4.63
Нет
x1.2
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1B
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
$800M
Да
x5.43
Нет
x1.15
$3B
Да
x38.78
Нет
—
ещё 6 вопросов
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x15.57
Нет
x1.01
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
<15B
Да
x100
Нет
—
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
25–30B
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Mary Peltola
Да
x100
Нет
—
Bernadette Wilson
Да
x4.04
Нет
x1.24
Tom Begich
Да
x3.11
Нет
x1.37
ещё 15 вопросов
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Да
x29.23
Нет
—
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
July 31
Да
x17.43
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x2.68
Нет
x1.47
Will any country leave NATO by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Claude 5 released by…?
June 30, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
September 30, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
June 12, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
ещё 1 вопрос
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
July 31
Да
x1.56
Нет
x2.44
July 15
Да
x5.94
Нет
x1.13
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Да
x7.04
Нет
x1.1
NHL: Eastern Conference Champion
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Saudi Arabia
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Oman
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
Syria
Да
x15.83
Нет
x1.01
ещё 5 вопросов
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Kash Patel
Да
x1.81
Нет
x2
Kristi Noem
Да
x2.09
Нет
x1.74
Pete Hegseth
Да
x2.64
Нет
x1.48
ещё 7 вопросов
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Austria
Да
x16.38
Нет
—
Germany
Да
x16.52
Нет
—
New Zealand
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
ещё 7 вопросов
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x1.06
Нет
x9.05
September 30, 2026
Да
x1.23
Нет
x4.13
July 31, 2026
Да
x1.96
Нет
x1.84
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
Да
x2
Нет
x1.81
$1B
Да
x4.32
Нет
x1.22
$250M
Да
x1.54
Нет
x2.47
ещё 3 вопроса
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
Да
x1.11
Нет
x6.55
Kristen McDonald Rivet
Да
x100
Нет
—
Matt Sahr
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 6 вопросов
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
DeepSeek
Да
x100
Нет
—
OpenAI
Да
x100
Нет
—
Meituan
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 12 вопросов
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
NHL: Western Conference Champion
Colorado Avalanche
Да
x100
Нет
—
Vegas Golden Knights
Да
—
Нет
x100
Who will acquire TikTok?
Microsoft
Да
x100
Нет
—
Meta
Да
x100
Нет
—
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.54
Нет
x2.47
Republican
Да
x2.41
Нет
x1.57
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
250B+
Да
x100
Нет
—
100–125B
Да
x100
Нет
—
150–175B
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
Texas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)
Да
x1.68
Нет
x2.18
James Talarico (D)
Да
x2.18
Нет
x1.68
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Да
x2.47
Нет
x1.54
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Macron out by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
July 31, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Да
x8.64
Нет
x1.07
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Да
x1.06
Нет
x9.05
Tarcisio de Frietas
Да
x82.61
Нет
—
Fernando Haddad
Да
x16.24
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap
300–350B
Да
x100
Нет
—
200–250B
Да
x100
Нет
—
400B+
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 4 вопроса
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Да
x3.65
Нет
x1.28
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
December 31, 2026
Да
x4.87
Нет
x1.18
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x19
Нет
—
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
Да
x1.35
Нет
x3.22
Dan Sullivan
Да
x3.17
Нет
x1.36
Ann Diener
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 2 вопроса
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Pakistan
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
South Korea
Да
x4.32
Нет
x1.22
India
Да
x3.96
Нет
x1.25
ещё 8 вопросов
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
Да
x3.33
Нет
x1.33
$2B
Да
x5.94
Нет
x1.13
$3B
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Да
x1.3
Нет
x3.52
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Да
x12.58
Нет
x1.03
India strike on Pakistan by...?
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
GPT-6 released by…?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x1.46
Нет
x2.71
September 30, 2026
Да
x6.79
Нет
x1.1
ещё 1 вопрос
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Taiwan
Да
x31.15
Нет
—
Turkey
Да
—
Нет
x30.16
Italy
Да
x3.65
Нет
x1.28
ещё 13 вопросов
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Да
x4.22
Нет
x1.23
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Да
x95
Нет
—
Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap
<150B
Да
x100
Нет
—
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
150–200B
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Yoon Suk Yeol
Да
x34.55
Нет
—
Jair Bolsonaro
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Lai Ching-te
Да
x14.07
Нет
x1.02
ещё 11 вопросов
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Да
x1.03
Нет
x11.66
Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap
<80B
Да
x100
Нет
—
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Да
—
Нет
x100
120–140B
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
Nathan MacKinnon
Да
x14.84
Нет
x1.01
Connor McDavid
Да
x3.11
Нет
x1.37
Nikita Kucherov
Да
x1.63
Нет
x2.27
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Да
x76
Нет
—
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
10k-25k
Да
x46.34
Нет
—
101-1k
Да
x8.68
Нет
x1.07
>100k
Да
x24.05
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Да
x1.9
Нет
x1.9
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Да
—
Нет
x44.19
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x24.36
Нет
—
Ukraine election held by...?
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Да
x4.22
Нет
x1.23
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?
June 30
Да
x61.29
Нет
—
August 31
Да
—
Нет
x25.33
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Las Vegas
Да
x100
Нет
—
Nashville
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
Dallas
Да
x3.52
Нет
x1.3
ещё 5 вопросов
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Да
x7.98
Нет
x1.08
China x India military clash by...?
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x6.33
Нет
x1.12
Democrat
Да
x1.13
Нет
x5.94
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Да
x1.9
Нет
x1.9
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%
Да
x2.03
Нет
x1.78
3.8%
Да
x2.41
Нет
x1.57
1.0%
Да
x24.68
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
≤5
Да
x19.59
Нет
—
12+
Да
x95
Нет
—
11
Да
x4.42
Нет
x1.21
ещё 5 вопросов
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Chellie Pingree
Да
x100
Нет
—
Dan Kleban
Да
x100
Нет
—
Who will Bernie endorse?
James Talarico - TX-Sen
Да
x1.62
Нет
x2.29
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
Да
x4.92
Нет
x1.18
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
Да
x27.14
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Да
x1.12
Нет
x6.31
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Да
x14.73
Нет
x1.02
South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham
Да
—
Нет
x100
Paul Dans
Да
x100
Нет
—
Mark Lynch
Да
x100
Нет
—
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Да
x95
Нет
—
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Да
x24.36
Нет
—
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x42.22
Нет
—
Republican
Да
x1.45
Нет
x2.75
Independent
Да
x3.52
Нет
x1.3
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Да
x24.05
Нет
—
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Да
x3.95
Нет
x1.25
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x2.07
Нет
x1.76
Republican
Да
x1.74
Нет
x2.09
Russian strike on Poland by...?
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Who will Trump endorse?
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Да
x79.17
Нет
—
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.0%
Да
x5.94
Нет
x1.13
4.8%
Да
x2.53
Нет
x1.52
5.2%
Да
x11.59
Нет
x1.03
ещё 1 вопрос
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Да
x1.37
Нет
x3.11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.32
Нет
x3.39
Republican
Да
x3.45
Нет
x1.31
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 31
Да
x57.58
Нет
—
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
700-800k
Да
x73.08
Нет
—
300-400k
Да
x4.87
Нет
x1.18
800-900k
Да
x95
Нет
—
ещё 7 вопросов
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Да
x3.11
Нет
x1.37
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Да
x14.29
Нет
x1.02
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Да
x19
Нет
—
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.9
Нет
x1.9
Democrat
Да
x1.83
Нет
x1.98
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 30
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
NATO article 5 before 2027?
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Да
x11.88
Нет
x1.03
French election called by...?
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Да
x6.33
Нет
x1.12
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)
Да
x1.67
Нет
x2.21
Jon Husted (R)
Да
x2.21
Нет
x1.67
Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x6.13
Нет
x1.12
August 31, 2026
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Да
x86.36
Нет
—
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Да
x7.92
Нет
x1.08
New York Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Democrat
Да
x1.07
Нет
x8.26
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
December 31, 2027
Да
x2.53
Нет
x1.52
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.17
Нет
x5
Democrat
Да
x73.08
Нет
—
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Да
x3.11
Нет
x1.37
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Да
x6.6
Нет
x1.11
UK election called by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x82.61
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x5.28
Нет
x1.16
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Да
x16.38
Нет
—
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Michael Whatley (R)
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
Roy Cooper (D)
Да
x1.1
Нет
x7.04
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Да
x4.52
Нет
x1.2
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x4.13
Нет
x1.23
Democrat
Да
x1.26
Нет
x3.88
Grok 5 released by...?
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%
Да
x3.28
Нет
x1.34
30%
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Да
x3.8
Нет
x1.27
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x23.46
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Да
x3.18
Нет
x1.36
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
U.S. nuclear test by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x70.37
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x11.88
Нет
x1.03
September 30, 2026
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
Republican
Да
x46.34
Нет
—
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x13.1
Нет
x1.02
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
September 30, 2026
Да
x19.39
Нет
—
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x2.71
Нет
x1.46
Democrat
Да
x1.46
Нет
x2.71
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.23
Нет
x4.22
Republican
Да
x4.52
Нет
x1.2
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Да
x4.04
Нет
x1.24
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.88
Нет
x1.92
Republican
Да
x1.88
Нет
x1.92
Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.17
Нет
x5.14
Democrat
Да
x5.59
Нет
x1.14
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x5.14
Нет
x1.17
Republican
Да
x1.15
Нет
x5.43
Colorado Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Democrat
Да
x1.04
Нет
x11.18
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x18.45
Republican
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Да
x3.58
Нет
x1.29
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
June 30, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x3.96
Нет
x1.25
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
September 30
Да
x6.13
Нет
x1.12
December 31
Да
x1.9
Нет
x1.9
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x7.04
Нет
x1.1
Democrat
Да
x1.1
Нет
x6.79
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.14
Нет
x5.59
Democrat
Да
x5.28
Нет
x1.16
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x2.21
Нет
x1.67
Democrat
Да
x1.7
Нет
x2.16
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.04
Нет
x10.56
Republican
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Да
x3.65
Нет
x1.28
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.13
Нет
x5.94
Republican
Да
x7.04
Нет
x1.1
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Will Argentina dollarize by...?
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.09
Нет
x7.6
Democrat
Да
x7.04
Нет
x1.1
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.1
Нет
x6.79
Democrat
Да
x8.48
Нет
x1.07
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Да
x13.77
Нет
x1.02
Illinois Senate Election Winner
Juliana Stratton (D)
Да
—
Нет
x17.76
Don Tracy (R)
Да
x41.3
Нет
—
Florida Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x4.13
Нет
x1.23
Republican
Да
x1.24
Нет
x4.04
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
Да
x1.98
Нет
x1.83
December 31, 2026
Да
x5.43
Нет
x1.15
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.1
Нет
x6.79
Republican
Да
x7.92
Нет
x1.08
Which artists will release a new song in 2026?
JAY-Z
Да
x2.21
Нет
x1.67
Frank Ocean
Да
x3.73
Нет
x1.28
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.01
Нет
x15.08
Democrat
Да
x47.5
Нет
—
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
Republican
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Да
x19.39
Нет
—
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Да
x22.89
Нет
—
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Да
x22.89
Нет
—
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.07
Нет
x8.26
Republican
Да
x8.64
Нет
x1.07
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x21.11
Democrat
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x21.84
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x17.27
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x15.83
Нет
x1.01
Democrat
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x17.27
Democrat
Да
x15.97
Нет
x1.01
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Да
x19
Нет
—
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x35.85
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x18.81
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Да
x11.52
Нет
x1.04
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Да
x12.75
Нет
x1.03
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
Maryland Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x26.76
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.84
US defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Да
x25.33
Нет
—
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x16.96
Нет
—
Republican
Да
x1.02
Нет
x13.67
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.03
Нет
x11.88
Democrat
Да
x14.39
Нет
x1.02
Texas Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Republican
Да
x1.11
Нет
x6.55
Obama arrested before 2027?
Obama arrested before 2027?
Да
x18.1
Нет
—
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x19
Republican
Да
x23.46
Нет
—
Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x17.27
Republican
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Republican
Да
x1.03
Нет
x12.67
Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.03
Нет
x12.84
Republican
Да
x16.52
Нет
—
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Andy Barr (R)
Да
x1.01
Нет
x15.97
Charles Booker (D)
Да
x15.57
Нет
x1.01
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Да
x9.84
Нет
x1.05
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x21.35
Democrat
Да
x27.14
Нет
—
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Да
x4.22
Нет
x1.23
Israel military action against Damascus by...?
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.01
Нет
x15.83
Democrat
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x17.27
Democrat
Да
x18.81
Нет
—
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$40 trillion
Да
—
Нет
x16.1
$42 trillion
Да
x9.5
Нет
x1.06
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x3.74
Нет
x1.27
Republican
Да
x1.32
Нет
x3.39
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Maine Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.08
Нет
x7.92
Republican
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy Winner
Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?
Да
x61.29
Нет
—
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.15
Нет
x5.43
Democrat
Да
x5.59
Нет
x1.14
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
Да
x5.14
Нет
x1.17
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Да
x2.53
Нет
x1.52
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Да
x16.52
Нет
—
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.5
Virginia Senate Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
Idaho Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x21.11
Democrat
Да
x28.36
Нет
—
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Да
x16.38
Нет
—
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Да
x16.96
Нет
—
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Да
x2.09
Нет
x1.74
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Да
x1.17
Нет
x5.14
Fed abolished before 2027?
Fed abolished before 2027?
Да
x43.18
Нет
—
Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
Да
—
Нет
x18.1
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Да
x6.79
Нет
x1.1
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
Да
—
Нет
x22.89
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.29
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Да
x3.17
Нет
x1.36
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Да
x14.18
Нет
x1.02
GDP growth in 2026
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02