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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Oprah Winfrey
Да
x100
Нет
—
Bernie Sanders
Да
x100
Нет
—
Chelsea Clinton
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 48 вопросов
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Byron Donalds
Да
x100
Нет
—
Mike Pence
Да
x100
Нет
—
John Thune
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 40 вопросов
Presidential Election Winner 2028
LeBron James
Да
x100
Нет
—
Tim Walz
Да
x100
Нет
—
Kim Kardashian
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 49 вопросов
Brazil Presidential Election
Tarcisio de Freitas
Да
x100
Нет
—
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Да
x100
Нет
—
Ratinho Júnior
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 14 вопросов
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Да
x5.76
Нет
x1.14
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
Да
x1.12
Нет
x6.4
11 (275 bps)
Да
x100
Нет
—
10 (250 bps)
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 10 вопросов
California Governor Election Winner
Tom Steyer
Да
x100
Нет
—
Steve Hilton
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Alex Padilla
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 20 вопросов
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Да
x24.68
Нет
—
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
Да
x1.53
Нет
x2.51
Lionel Messi
Да
x46.34
Нет
—
Lamine Yamal
Да
x5.94
Нет
x1.13
ещё 28 вопросов
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Donald Trump
Да
x40.43
Нет
—
UNRWA
Да
x23.46
Нет
—
Greta Thunberg
Да
x90.48
Нет
—
ещё 17 вопросов
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Да
x3.73
Нет
x1.28
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
August 31, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
September 30, 2026
Да
x40.43
Нет
—
ещё 1 вопрос
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin
Да
x2.64
Нет
x1.48
Yoon Suk Yeol
Да
x20
Нет
—
Nick Fuentes
Да
x13.1
Нет
x1.02
ещё 12 вопросов
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Да
x21.35
Нет
—
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Scream 7
Да
x100
Нет
—
Wuthering Heights
Да
x100
Нет
—
Wicked: For Good
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 6 вопросов
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump out as President before 2027?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
Да
x1.92
Нет
x1.88
Republicans Sweep
Да
x7.04
Нет
x1.1
R Senate, D House
Да
x2.6
Нет
x1.5
ещё 2 вопроса
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
Да
x1.09
Нет
x7.6
Republican Party
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
Да
x6.96
Нет
x1.1
$1B
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
$3B
Да
x24.05
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
Да
x1.29
Нет
x3.58
Apple
Да
x6.71
Нет
x1.11
Microsoft
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
IPOs before 2027?
Ledger
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Databricks
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
Discord
Да
x3.47
Нет
x1.31
ещё 26 вопросов
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
Да
x1.81
Нет
x2
Republican Party
Да
x2
Нет
x1.81
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Да
x2.75
Нет
x1.45
Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Да
—
Нет
x70.37
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$700M
Да
x11.66
Нет
x1.03
$1B
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
$2B
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Да
x12.03
Нет
x1.03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
US
Да
x95
Нет
—
Qatar / UAE
Да
x100
Нет
—
Belarus
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 11 вопросов
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Да
x31.15
Нет
—
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
June 30, 2027
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Да
x5.59
Нет
x1.14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x1.09
Нет
x7.31
September 30, 2026
Да
x1.35
Нет
x3.22
August 31, 2026
Да
x2.79
Нет
x1.44
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Да
x1.14
Нет
x5.59
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Да
x2.13
Нет
x1.71
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Republican
Да
x2.35
Нет
x1.6
Democratic
Да
x1.62
Нет
x2.29
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Bernard Arnault
Да
x100
Нет
—
Jeff Bezos
Да
x100
Нет
—
Steve Ballmer
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 7 вопросов
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
Да
x4.42
Нет
x1.21
August 31
Да
x38.78
Нет
—
October 31
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
US recession by end of 2026?
US recession by end of 2026?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Turkey
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Saudi Arabia
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Oman
Да
x21.84
Нет
—
ещё 9 вопросов
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1B
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
$800M
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
$3B
Да
x24.05
Нет
—
ещё 8 вопросов
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Да
x2.64
Нет
x1.48
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
September 30
Да
x35.85
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
Да
x31.15
Нет
—
August 31
Да
x100
Нет
—
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Да
x20.88
Нет
—
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)
Да
x1.37
Нет
x3.11
Susan Collins (R)
Да
x3.22
Нет
x1.35
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Mary Peltola
Да
x100
Нет
—
Bernadette Wilson
Да
x3.65
Нет
x1.28
Tom Begich
Да
x1.79
Нет
x2.02
ещё 19 вопросов
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Да
x4.04
Нет
x1.24
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
August 31, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
September 30, 2026
Да
x44.19
Нет
—
US x Russia military clash by...?
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Да
x25.68
Нет
—
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Да
x35.85
Нет
—
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Да
x54.29
Нет
—
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Kash Patel
Да
x3.45
Нет
x1.31
Pete Hegseth
Да
x3.8
Нет
x1.27
Kristi Noem
Да
x4.3
Нет
x1.22
ещё 13 вопросов
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
Да
x5.43
Нет
x1.15
$1B
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
$250M
Да
x3.8
Нет
x1.27
ещё 3 вопроса
Texas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)
Да
x1.92
Нет
x1.88
James Talarico (D)
Да
x1.84
Нет
x1.96
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Austria
Да
x9.64
Нет
x1.05
Germany
Да
x24.68
Нет
—
New Zealand
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
ещё 8 вопросов
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Да
x12.84
Нет
x1.03
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Да
x25.68
Нет
—
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Да
x5.14
Нет
x1.17
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Да
—
Нет
x21.84
Tarcisio de Frietas
Да
x100
Нет
—
Fernando Haddad
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 6 вопросов
GPT-6 released by…?
August 31, 2026
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
December 31, 2026
Да
x1.14
Нет
x5.59
August 21, 2026
Да
x47.5
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Да
x24.68
Нет
—
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Да
x1.15
Нет
x5.43
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Да
x1.71
Нет
x2.13
Mike Rogers (R)
Да
x2.13
Нет
x1.71
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
Да
x1.84
Нет
x1.96
Dan Sullivan
Да
x1.96
Нет
x1.84
Ann Diener
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 2 вопроса
Will any country leave NATO by...?
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Pakistan
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
India
Да
x4.42
Нет
x1.21
South Korea
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
ещё 14 вопросов
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
Да
x70.37
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
Да
x1.55
Нет
x2.45
September 30, 2026
Да
x35.19
Нет
—
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Да
x9.36
Нет
x1.06
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
Да
x9.5
Нет
x1.06
$2B
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
$3B
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
India strike on Pakistan by...?
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Да
x6.33
Нет
x1.12
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Taiwan
Да
x14.39
Нет
x1.02
Italy
Да
x6.79
Нет
x1.1
Lebanon
Да
x9.31
Нет
x1.06
ещё 18 вопросов
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Да
x2.64
Нет
x1.48
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 31
Да
x3.45
Нет
x1.31
September 30
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
August 31
Да
x30.16
Нет
—
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Да
x1.26
Нет
x3.89
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Да
x3.89
Нет
x1.26
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Tom Tiffany (R)
Да
x4.04
Нет
x1.24
David Crowley (D)
Да
x1.23
Нет
x4.22
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Да
x5.14
Нет
x1.17
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
10k-25k
Да
x51.35
Нет
—
101-1k
Да
x11.59
Нет
x1.03
>100k
Да
x20
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Ukraine election called by...?
August 31, 2026
Да
x67.86
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Да
x13.1
Нет
x1.02
Ukraine election held by...?
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
China x India military clash by...?
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
Да
x55.88
Нет
—
December 31, 2027
Да
x1.79
Нет
x2.02
June 30, 2027
Да
x2.79
Нет
x1.44
Russia nuclear test by...?
September 30, 2026
Да
x46.34
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x18.1
Нет
—
NATO article 5 before 2027?
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Да
x19.39
Нет
—
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x6.33
Нет
x1.12
Democrat
Да
x1.13
Нет
x5.94
Independent
Да
x70.37
Нет
—
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Да
x26.03
Нет
—
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%
Да
x7.98
Нет
x1.08
3.8%
Да
x19
Нет
—
1.0%
Да
x57.58
Нет
—
ещё 5 вопросов
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x100
Нет
—
Pete Ricketts (R)
Да
x1.33
Нет
x3.33
Independent
Да
x3.33
Нет
x1.33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Да
x11.88
Нет
x1.03
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R)
Да
x1.65
Нет
x2.24
Josh Turek (D)
Да
x2.18
Нет
x1.68
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Да
x12.84
Нет
x1.03
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.0%
Да
x3.8
Нет
x1.27
4.8%
Да
x1.4
Нет
x2.97
5.2%
Да
x6.53
Нет
x1.11
ещё 3 вопроса
Who will acquire TikTok?
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
Да
x100
Нет
—
AppLovin
Да
x100
Нет
—
Who will Bernie endorse?
James Talarico - TX-Sen
Да
x1.98
Нет
x1.83
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
Да
x4.61
Нет
x1.2
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
Да
x100
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Да
x1.04
Нет
x11.24
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Да
x20.21
Нет
—
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Да
x7.92
Нет
x1.08
China coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
Да
x23.75
Нет
—
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
December 31, 2027
Да
x3.33
Нет
x1.33
June 30, 2027
Да
x4.42
Нет
x1.21
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Да
x37.25
Нет
—
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
Да
x1.78
Нет
x2.04
Amy Acton (D)
Да
x2
Нет
x1.81
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Да
x19
Нет
—
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)
Да
x1.67
Нет
x2.21
Jon Husted (R)
Да
x2.29
Нет
x1.62
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
Republican
Да
x1.07
Нет
x8.64
Who will Trump endorse?
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Да
x29.69
Нет
—
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Да
x4.13
Нет
x1.23
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
700-800k
Да
x90.48
Нет
—
300-400k
Да
x5.43
Нет
x1.15
800-900k
Да
x86.36
Нет
—
ещё 7 вопросов
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Да
x1.71
Нет
x2.13
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Да
x4.75
Нет
x1.19
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
October 31, 2026
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
December 31, 2026
Да
x8.26
Нет
x1.07
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Да
x1.06
Нет
x9.05
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.03
Нет
x11.88
Democrat
Да
x100
Нет
—
Independent
Да
x11.11
Нет
x1.04
Claude 5 released by…?
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Да
—
Нет
x100
U.S. nuclear test by...?
September 30, 2026
Да
x76
Нет
—
December 31, 2026
Да
x24.68
Нет
—
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Mike Collins (R)
Да
x12.42
Нет
x1.03
Jon Ossoff (D)
Да
x1.03
Нет
x12.67
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Да
x4.32
Нет
x1.22
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Да
x19.19
Нет
—
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
New York Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x15.83
Нет
x1.01
Democrat
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Да
x9.5
Нет
x1.06
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Michael Whatley (R)
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Roy Cooper (D)
Да
x1.03
Нет
x12.67
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%
Да
x3.11
Нет
x1.37
30%
Да
x19
Нет
—
20%
Да
x39.58
Нет
—
ещё 1 вопрос
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Да
x30.16
Нет
—
Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
Да
x9.5
Нет
x1.06
December 31, 2027
Да
x2.53
Нет
x1.52
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Да
x8.64
Нет
x1.07
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Да
x26.03
Нет
—
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Да
x5.76
Нет
x1.14
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
Да
x100
Нет
—
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Lisa Demuth (R)
Да
x18.45
Нет
—
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.09
Нет
x7.31
Democrat
Да
x7.31
Нет
x1.09
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x7.6
Нет
x1.09
Democrat
Да
x1.09
Нет
x7.6
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Да
x30.65
Нет
—
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Rick Jackson (R)
Да
x2.6
Нет
x1.5
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
Да
x1.48
Нет
x2.64
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Joe Lombardo (R)
Да
x1.51
Нет
x2.57
Aaron Ford (D)
Да
x2.57
Нет
x1.51
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Да
x5.12
Нет
x1.17
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.04
Нет
x11.18
Republican
Да
x33.33
Нет
—
Independent
Да
x38.78
Нет
—
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Zach Lahn (R)
Да
x3.45
Нет
x1.31
Rob Sand (D)
Да
x1.31
Нет
x3.45
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Да
x8.64
Нет
x1.07
GDP growth in 2026
0.5–1.0%
Да
x29.69
Нет
—
>2.5%
Да
x4.22
Нет
x1.23
<0.5%
Да
x16.96
Нет
—
ещё 3 вопроса
Texas Governor Election Winner
Gina Hinojosa (D)
Да
x6.13
Нет
x1.12
Greg Abbott (R)
Да
x1.11
Нет
x6.55
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Да
x59.38
Нет
—
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Да
x2.6
Нет
x1.5
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
September 30
Да
x7.92
Нет
x1.08
December 31
Да
x2.57
Нет
x1.51
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Да
x30.65
Нет
—
Colorado Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x23.75
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Да
x1.05
Нет
x10
Michele Tafoya (R)
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.11
Нет
x6.55
Republican
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x8.48
Нет
x1.07
Republican
Да
x1.09
Нет
x7.6
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.18
Нет
x4.87
Democrat
Да
x5.14
Нет
x1.17
Taylor Swift pregnant by...?
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x20.65
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.1
Нет
x6.79
Republican
Да
x6.33
Нет
x1.12
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.03
Нет
x11.88
Democrat
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Florida Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x5.59
Нет
x1.14
Republican
Да
x1.15
Нет
x5.43
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
Да
x2.92
Нет
x1.41
December 31, 2026
Да
x31.15
Нет
—
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Да
x31.67
Нет
—
Illinois Senate Election Winner
Juliana Stratton (D)
Да
—
Нет
x18.81
Don Tracy (R)
Да
x30.16
Нет
—
UK election called by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x5.59
Нет
x1.14
June 30, 2027
Да
x2.71
Нет
x1.46
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Да
x30.16
Нет
—
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x22.89
Democrat
Да
x20.21
Нет
—
Maine Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x18.81
Republican
Да
x18.1
Нет
—
Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
Да
x3.96
Нет
x1.25
December 31, 2026
Да
x4.75
Нет
x1.19
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x14.62
Нет
x1.02
Republican
Да
x1.02
Нет
x13.57
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
September 30
Да
x32.76
Нет
—
December 31
Да
x10
Нет
x1.05
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Republican
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.62
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.05
Нет
x10
Republican
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x21.84
Democrat
Да
x41.3
Нет
—
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
Да
x5
Нет
x1.17
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
Да
x31.67
Нет
—
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x28.36
Republican
Да
x35.85
Нет
—
Which artists will release a new song in 2026?
JAY-Z
Да
x1.03
Нет
x11.88
Frank Ocean
Да
x2.75
Нет
x1.45
Nicki Minaj
Да
x1.19
Нет
x4.66
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Will Trump resign before 2027?
Да
x26.76
Нет
—
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Да
x28.36
Нет
—
Obama arrested before 2027?
Obama arrested before 2027?
Да
x32.2
Нет
—
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x3.88
Нет
x1.26
September 30, 2026
Да
x30.65
Нет
—
August 31, 2026
Да
x100
Нет
—
Maryland Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.35
Republican
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.11
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.43
Нет
x2.84
Democrat
Да
x2.75
Нет
x1.45
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.11
Republican
Да
x21.84
Нет
—
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x17.27
Democrat
Да
x25
Нет
—
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Да
x15.45
Нет
x1.01
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x19.59
Republican
Да
x27.94
Нет
—
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x18.27
Нет
—
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x19
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Да
x23.75
Нет
—
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Да
x17.59
Нет
—
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x25
Democrat
Да
x50
Нет
—
US defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Да
x31.67
Нет
—
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.11
Republican
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.04
Нет
x11.18
Democrat
Да
x11.11
Нет
x1.04
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Andy Barr (R)
Да
x1.03
Нет
x12.34
Charles Booker (D)
Да
x17.12
Нет
—
Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.01
Нет
x15.83
Republican
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x51.35
Нет
—
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x23.75
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x4.6
Нет
x1.2
Republican
Да
x1.19
Нет
x4.75
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
Да
x3.11
Нет
x1.37
October 31
Да
x5.76
Нет
x1.14
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.02
Нет
x14.5
Democrat
Да
x21.35
Нет
—
Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
x1.01
Нет
x15.32
Republican
Да
x19
Нет
—
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Да
x5.76
Нет
x1.14
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x19.59
Democrat
Да
x59.38
Нет
—
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$40 trillion
Да
—
Нет
x100
$42 trillion
Да
x22.35
Нет
—
$41 trillion
Да
x2.44
Нет
x1.56
Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x17.27
Democrat
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.12
Нет
x6.33
Democrat
Да
x6.13
Нет
x1.12
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Да
x3.75
Нет
x1.27
Will Argentina dollarize by...?
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
Spain snap election called by...?
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?
Да
x82.61
Нет
—
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Да
x9.05
Нет
x1.06
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Да
x22.62
Нет
—
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x19
Republican
Да
x27.54
Нет
—
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.01
Нет
x15.57
Democrat
Да
x38
Нет
—
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
Macron out by...?
Macron out by December 31, 2026?
Да
x19.79
Нет
—
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Да
x2.53
Нет
x1.52
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.59
Republican
Да
x38
Нет
—
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x20
Democrat
Да
x32.76
Нет
—
Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x22.35
Democrat
Да
x34.55
Нет
—
Idaho Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x18.27
Democrat
Да
x43.18
Нет
—
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Да
x21.11
Нет
—
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
x1.04
Нет
x11.24
Democrat
Да
x13.57
Нет
x1.02
Illinois Governor Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x21.11
Republican
Да
x17.27
Нет
—
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Republican
Да
—
Нет
x21.84
Democrat
Да
x28.79
Нет
—
Fed abolished before 2027?
Fed abolished before 2027?
Да
x70.37
Нет
—
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Да
x25.68
Нет
—
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Да
x2.29
Нет
x1.62
Oregon Senate Election Winner
Democrat
Да
—
Нет
x26.76
Republican
Да
x46.34
Нет
—
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Да
x59.38
Нет
—
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Да
x22.62
Нет
—
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Да
x12.67
Нет
x1.03
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
Да
x2.26
Нет
x1.64
September 30, 2026
Да
x21.84
Нет
—
June 30, 2027
Да
x2.6
Нет
x1.5
ещё 2 вопроса
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Да
x6.13
Нет
x1.12
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
Да
x10.56
Нет
x1.04
September 30, 2026
Да
x23.46
Нет
—
French election called by...?
French election called by December 31, 2026?
Да
x11.18
Нет
x1.04
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Да
x38.78
Нет
—
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Да
x11.88
Нет
x1.03
Obama divorce before 2027?
Obama divorce before 2027?
Да
x26.03
Нет
—
Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?
Да
x3.14
Нет
x1.36
Weed rescheduled by...?
Weed rescheduled by September 30?
Да
x6.55
Нет
x1.11